Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.039255 0.042670 0.046109 0.049823 0.053717 0.057672 0.061986
2025-10-26 0.034119 0.039202 0.044487 0.050368 0.056705 0.063306 0.070681
2025-11-02 0.028604 0.034689 0.041212 0.048668 0.056904 0.065673 0.075666
2025-11-09 0.024971 0.031820 0.039366 0.048200 0.058160 0.068958 0.081461
2025-11-16 0.022120 0.029538 0.037923 0.047948 0.059462 0.072135 0.087011
2025-11-23 0.020685 0.028737 0.038034 0.049343 0.062518 0.077197 0.094604
2025-11-30 0.019324 0.027887 0.037976 0.050444 0.065163 0.081739 0.101574
2025-12-07 0.017928 0.026872 0.037621 0.051111 0.067234 0.085572 0.107702
2025-12-14 0.016435 0.025619 0.036882 0.051234 0.068598 0.088539 0.112797
2025-12-21 0.015612 0.025158 0.037064 0.052426 0.071195 0.092917 0.119508
2025-12-28 0.013973 0.023511 0.035668 0.051603 0.071311 0.094334 0.122736
2026-01-04 0.012965 0.022642 0.035205 0.051888 0.072727 0.097257 0.127703
2026-01-11 0.012166 0.022035 0.035077 0.052612 0.074718 0.100925 0.133636
2026-01-18 0.011388 0.021407 0.034888 0.053236 0.076578 0.104439 0.139403
2026-01-25 0.009814 0.019518 0.032926 0.051504 0.075448 0.104302 0.140787
2026-02-01 0.008821 0.018414 0.031971 0.051031 0.075855 0.106002 0.144350
2026-02-08 0.007987 0.017489 0.031212 0.050777 0.076509 0.107979 0.148232
2026-02-15 0.007744 0.017478 0.031730 0.052223 0.079337 0.112640 0.155376
2026-02-22 0.007428 0.017326 0.032030 0.053365 0.081770 0.116815 0.161938
2026-03-01 0.007005 0.016966 0.032009 0.054056 0.083610 0.120250 0.167602
2026-03-08 0.006461 0.016358 0.031594 0.054184 0.084701 0.122741 0.172108
2026-03-15 0.006242 0.016298 0.031983 0.055417 0.087240 0.127051 0.178856
2026-03-22 0.005521 0.015288 0.030902 0.054566 0.087005 0.127853 0.181268